This is the second post in a series addressing the short- and long-term impacts of the 2016 presidential election. Read the first post here.
Directors gathered to discuss the impact of the recent presidential election on November 16, 2016 with audit and risk professionals from accounting firm EisnerAmper. While immediate-term changes were pressing on the minds of directors, they also discussed strategies to address societal and business challenges that coalesced around the following topics.
Can Corporations Bring Back Modern Manufacturing Jobs?
Directors were skeptical that the type of manufacturing jobs that have fueled American economic growth since the end of the second World War would ever return—and asserted that changes in trade agreements may directly impact the ability to create jobs.
EisnerAmper Chief Risk Officer Peter Bible outlined how the developing administration of President-elect Donald Trump could affect the ability of American companies to export their goods. The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) “is basically on hold now” said Bible. “He wants tariffs on China and Mexico, wants to renegotiate NAFTA, and reconsider the U.S.’s involvement in international trade agreement.” Bible also pointed out that the president can act unilaterally on trade agreements, thus negating congressional checks on trade decisions.
Jill Wittels, chair at eMagin Corp., voiced concern about the pace at which companies could replace factories to offset the impact of tariffs and build more jobs for Americans. “Imposing currency restrictions and tariffs on goods coming in from China, South America, or other parts of Asia would be highly disruptive,” Wittels said. “You don’t instantly create replacement factories in the U.S. at a comparable cost.”
Robert Klatell, chair of TTM Technologies, concurred. “Realistically speaking, there is not that much flexibility. We cannot create in the United States the scale of manufacturing that exists in China,” Klatell said. “We don’t have the people or the capital to do it. We’ve rarely had a government willing to support manufacturing the same way that China has in the past 10 to 15 years.”
William Leidsdorf, director at Icahn Enterprises, offered a different viewpoint. “I think you have to look at how Congress may change or water down the president’s decisions,” Leidsdorf said. Trump “is a businessman. He’s a pretty good negotiator. He’s going to go in [to the presidency] and say he’ll do a lot of things and then negotiate.”
Educating the Workforce
Re-educating the American workforce has been a ubiquitous topic at roundtables co-hosted by NACD throughout 2016. This event was no exception.
A vigorous discussion about the modern workforce was ignited when Carol Robbins, principal of financial services strategic advisory group CER Consulting, cited the invention of a garment-sewing robot as a groundbreaking technology likely to replace countless garment manufacturing workers around the world. Sharon Manewitz, principal and executive director at Manewitz Weiker Associates, a firm that consults with struggling companies, responded: “But who will make the robots? Will they be made here? We need corporate America to help educational institutions change the nature of education in America” to meet the demands of a knowledge-based economy.
The ability of the workforce to be retrained for modern jobs, and how automation will continue to disappear unskilled and lower-skilled positions, was discussed at length. Klatell, however, looked to the future. “Some people won’t make the transition, so we should be focusing on their children,” Klatell argued. “Hopefully, we can get their kids through school with a more meaningful education to make them more employable.”
Laurie Shahon, president of Wilton Capital Group, placed a board lens on some companies’ struggle to fill open positions in certain fields. “Human capital is an issue boards have to deal with,” Shahon said. “We see jobs available in financial services and other industries, but they can’t be filled because there aren’t sufficient qualified people to fill them.The board can and should present alternate cases in its strategy planning to address these changes.”
If Trump makes good on his campaign promises, deregulation is expected under the new administration and the forthcoming Republican majority congress. How long, though, can directors anticipate deregulated policies to last? Bible pointed out that the current administration might attempt to press through lingering Dodd-Frank provisions. However, he warned that deregulation could cause disruption. “These things are deeply rooted, with a lot of capital behind them,” Bible said. “You can’t just say ‘poof—gone.’ It’s impossible.” Practices that companies have implemented as a result of post-financial crisis legislation [such as the Dodd-Frank Act of 2012] are likely not to disappear as governance best practices because companies invested time, energy, and money to comply with them.
Meanwhile, directors in the room considered what impact deregulation might have on enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) and other international business policies by the Department of Justice. Andrea Bonime-Blanc, founder of GEC Risk Advisory, reminded attendees that enforcement of the FCPA, the False Claims Act, and other laws has been on the rise lately. “People are asking, ‘What’s going to happen with FCPA enforcement?’” Bonime-Blanc asked. “Companies can’t just say ‘oh, let’s stop worrying about bribery.’”
Bible responded: “I believe that the FCPA will continue to be enforced as a worldwide standard, and that the new administration’s focus is going to be on executive compensation and on market regulation. I don’t think there will be an increase or a decrease in enforcement.” If anything, Bible indicated that directors should be concerned about the risk of tax repatriation from companies that have moved their headquarters offshore. “Is everyone familiar with how the overseas tax issue works?” Bible asked. “There is $2.6 trillion in money offshore, and $500 billion of that is held by tech companies. There are drives to get that money back into the U.S. economy that can be done without addressing the entire tax structure.”
Don’t Give Up on Culture of Inclusion
The social unrest incited or revealed by the vitriolic presidential election was discussed in the context of the culture of inclusion and tolerance that their companies have invested in building for decades. Aside of the moral imperative felt by many attendees, the disruption of hard-won corporate culture by internal or external actors could present a reputation risk to the company.
Wittels noted that a popular American shoe company had been endorsed by an incendiary website littered with forms of hate speech after a senior manager at the shoe company stated that it felt the country was moving in the right direction under the incoming president. While the company released statements strongly stating its commitment to principles of inclusion, “there are comments about boycott,” Wittels said. “This is a real reputational risk, and a risk with consumers, that could instantly in this communication age go viral and affect the bottom line.”
Klatell returned to the question of the board’s responsibility to ensure that the CEO, his direct reports, and management across the organization are responsible for maintaining a culture of respect, dignity, and inclusion. In the face of employees who may be looking to throw principles of inclusion out of the door, Klatell said: “I’d hope that most companies would stand up and say ‘No, this is what we stand for, and this is how we behave.’”
To see the full list of participants, please click here.
Effective chief risk officers are concerned with what the institution may not know. They must occasionally offer a contrarian point of view at crucial decision-making moments when a given strategy, transaction, or deal is under scrutiny or is likely to expose the organization to unacceptable risk. If they do not, who will?
In many organizations, board risk oversight is enhanced when the board and executive management are supported by an effective independent risk management function. Positioning the chief risk officer (CRO) (or equivalent executive) and the independent risk management function to deliver to expectations requires an understanding of how the CRO role can succeed. Let’s explore how to support this essential role.
While not all CROs are alike, there are factors that offer the board a discussion framework for positioning the CRO (and independent risk management) to succeed.
1.) Inculcate an “everyone is responsible for risk” culture. If the board, senior management, and operating personnel believe that the CRO is the only position within the organization concerned with risk, the game is over before it begins. Ideally, front-line business unit, process, and functional owners should also be risk owners, or the first line of defense when it comes to identifying, sourcing, managing, and monitoring risk.
2.) Integrate risk into opportunity pursuits and decision-making processes. Striking the appropriate balance between the organization’s market-making and control-related activities is fundamental to what a CRO attempts to achieve. It typically begins with formulating and documenting a risk appetite framework approved by executive management and the board, and integrating that framework into operations. From there, risk considerations are incorporated into decision-making processes, performance evaluations, compensation decisions, and the discipline of monitoring the impact of changes in the business environment on the risk profile.
3.) Clearly define the CRO position. Two distinct CRO roles exist in practice. While there are variants, an understanding of these two roles provides a context for framing the positioning conversation:
The “champion” CRO advances and enables the organization’s risk management framework (and supporting methodologies, tools, and techniques), and plays the roles of coordinator and integrator to ensure consistency in application across operating units and functions. The champion CRO plays such roles as educator (as a provider of insights); facilitator (of risk assessments and formalization of risk mitigation plans); and consultant, communicator, and reporter. The champion CRO supports evaluations of enterprise risks and provides transparency into the capabilities around managing the priority risks across the institution.
The “line of defense” CRO undertakes the activities of the champion, but also is authorized to play a combination of other roles. These roles include evaluator; initiator; approver (of policies and risk response design); escalator (of significant issues to executive management, including the CEO, and, through appropriate channels, the board); vetoer (of activities affecting compliance with established internal policies); and arbitrator (of disagreements between operating and functional units affecting risk management). The line of defense CRO may not be authorized to assume all of these roles, but clearly reaches beyond a champion CRO with escalatory and/or veto authority.
The key is for the board and CEO to have a mutual understanding of the CRO’s role and function. In heavily regulated industries, such as financial services, the line-of-defense CRO is likely the preferred option. If the focus is primarily on understanding and coordinating an organization’s fragmented risk management efforts and reporting on the state of risk management, a champion CRO might work.
4.) Position the CRO to deliver to expectations. To serve as a second line of defense, a CRO must have sufficient stature with business-line leaders and across the organization. Stature comes from the authority, compensation, and direct reporting lines that command respect. In short, for business-line leaders to collaborate effectively with the CRO, they must view the CRO as a peer. This positioning is accentuated if the CRO:
Reports to someone who has strong influence on the organization, such as the CEO or executive committee (with administrative reporting to an appropriate C-level executive);
Has direct access to a standing committee of the board (i.e., through dotted-line reporting); Engages in mandatory, regularly scheduled executive sessions with the board or a standing committee of the board;
Provides periodic reports and escalates issues to executive management and the board; Has influence on compensation practices incenting the desired risk management behaviors; and
Is sufficiently resourced with an adequate support staff.
5.) Undertake a strategic focus. Consistent with the premise that risks must be owned by the lines of business and functional activities that generate them, the CRO generally operates in a strategic oversight role with authority vested by the executive committee (or a designated risk management committee), the CEO, and/or the board (or a committee of the board). The CRO’s focus must be on understanding enterprise risk, monitoring changes in the risk profile, and aligning risk with tolerance. Therefore, the board needs to ensure that there is an appropriate risk focus. The CRO role should not be perceived as a check-the-box compliance function that forces the business to follow rules imposed on it, as opposed to linking risk and opportunity effectively when creating and protecting enterprise value.
6.) Foster effective board communication. The CRO should have open and free access to the appropriate board contact. For line of defense CROs, the board must be vigilant in ensuring that there is nothing constraining the CRO from reporting to it when significant risk issues arise. To that end, a formalized escalation process should exist, such as written procedures and agreements requiring escalation of any significant issues raised by the risk management function that are being argued by business-line executives, even in circumstances where the CEO resolves disputes between the first and second lines of defense.
In summary, there is no one-size-fits-all approach to the CRO role. Positioning the CRO function within the organization is more than defining the role itself. The depth and breadth of the CRO’s relationships with senior executives and business-line and functional leaders have a significant impact on the CRO’s effectiveness. The stronger these relationships, the more effective the CRO will be in realizing the intended value proposition. As expectations increase, the need for more sophisticated risk professionals grows.
Jim DeLoach is managing director with Protiviti, a global consulting firm.
While President-elect Donald Trump worked last week with his transition team from the Trump Tower, directors met just blocks away at the Harvard Club of New York City, to address how in the aftermath of his election boards should begin preparing for what could be sweeping regulatory, tax, and social change.
(Left to right) Robert Klatell, Steven Kreit, and Laurie Shahon
Leading the discussion were EisnerAmper’s Chief Risk Officer Peter Bible and Steven Kreit, an audit partner with the firm. While the directors disagreed on the order and priority of policy changes, there was consensus around one point: Uncertainty will rule. Bible and Kreit suggested directors focus on in the near term and shared recommendations directors might take to remain agile in the face of politically driven risks.
How can a director prepare? Boards must engage deeply in strategy in the coming months. Anthony Buonaguro, president of the New Jersey NACD chapter and director of Enclave Homeowners Association, ignited a debate on whether or not boards will develop investment strategies focused on continued investment abroad.
“It resonated with me that we’re facing several years of uncertainty,” Buonaguro said. “Is this going to make boards more conservative? Usually there are two ways that people handle uncertainty: forge ahead as usual, or freeze. If it’s the latter, it’s not good for the economy or stocks. What are boards supposed to do to revamp strategy?” Kreit answered: “You have to put pen to paper and identify scenarios, then plan for them. Will you hit the scenario that happens? Possibly—or not. But if boards don’t strategize, they’re not going to get anywhere.”
NACD Directorship Publisher Christopher Y. Clark asked participants to suggest calls to action. Shaun Higgins, director of Aryzta AG and Carmine Laboratories, reiterated the importance of establishing strong enterprise risk management (ERM) practices. “I think you go into the board meeting and make strategic planning your number one ERM priority,” Higgins said.
Andrea Bonime-Blanc, CEO, founder, and director of GEC Risk Advisory LLC, jumped in: “I think the answer is to know what your top strategic risks are that need to be focused on.” Regarding specific risks, Bonime-Blanc said that when assessing the election’s implications, “We must pick the top five risks to integrate into business planning and factor U.S. geopolitical risk into our own strategic planning in a way that we never have had to before.”
The EisnerAmper hosts shared their near-term advice. “I can’t find a better reason for your companies to have ERM systems and processes in place,” Kreit said, noting that this is not the time for “mail-in” board members.
“I think this is a great time to start thinking about whether the people you have in the boat with you are the people you want to have in the boat with you,” Kreit said.
To see the full list of participants, please click here.
What We Know
Kreit addressed what can be readily understood from the election. “There’s talk about what is going to happen, but no one really knows,” he said. “Board members should really be prepared for anything. Start thinking about some of the concepts Trump has been talking about, what some of his main areas of focus have been.” Work with management to address how the following, possible policy changes might impact business:
Anticipate inflation and its impact on cash flow and management, equity valuations, and borrowing abilities. While an initial jump in equity markets was seen, according to Bible, “the debt market got $1 trillion knocked out of it,” a sign of anticipation of inflation. Companies should begin scenario-planning for changes in borrowing ability.
Expect early review of tax policy. The dominance of the Republican party across Congress and the executive branch indicate the probability of perhaps even speedy tax reform.
Repeal or replacement of the Affordable Care Act. Some changes will come to the policy, and companies should be prepared to address its impact on their workforce.
De-regulation and repeal of the Dodd-Frank Act. Bible and Kreit anticipate the repeal of at least some Dodd-Frank provisions, and, at a minimum, a review of leadership at the Consumer Financial Protection Board.
Changes are coming to trade. One of the major planks in the Trump platform was a general desire to repeal trade agreements and impose tariffs on China and Mexico, as well as opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Bible and Kreit underscored the fact that one of the American executive branch’s unilateral powers is to control foreign commerce, which could lead to trade wars “that could trigger a recession,” Bible cautioned.
Kreit also outlined the timeline of key power changes in the White House and Congress:
December 19, 2016: The Electoral College convenes to vote.
January 3, 2017: The 115th United States Congress convenes.
January 6, 2017: Congress declares the president-elect.
January 20, 2017: Presidential inauguration marks the beginning of the Trump administration.
March-September 2017: Congress anticipated to debate raising the debt ceiling.
September 30, 2017: The U.S. government’s fiscal year ends, opening the door for Congress to address budgetary and fiscal matters.
These dates could serve as important milestones for developments impacting their companies.
“Back when we were determining a topic for this discussion, one thing I think we could all agree on was that this election could change the course of the country—and, potentially, the world,” Bible said in summation. “I felt very strongly that we should have this type of dialogue for one reason, and that’s because board leadership is essential for success. It’s a brave new world.”
A second post reporting from this roundtable will address longer-term concerns raised by directors.